The prestigious year-end World No. 1 Emirates ATP Ranking will be decided in London… and it could come down to the last match of the year because only 640 points separate Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic.
Rafa’s London participation remains in question after he withdrew from his Paris semifinal with Denis Shapovalov due to an abdominal injury.
For each Round Robin win players get 200 points, semi-final win brings 400 points, and the win in the finals is worth 500 additional points. Undefeated champion can earn 1500 points (3 RR wins + SF win + F win).
Here are the multiple scenarios for the year-end No.1 ranking – but who has a better chance at finishing the year ranked No. 1, Rafa or Nole?
- If Rafa decides to not play in London (wins no matches), Nole must reach the final with at least two round-robin wins to pass him.
- If Rafa wins two round-robin matches, Djokovic must win the title to pass him.
All No.1 scenarios:
|Start||9585 points||8945 points|
|Group exit, zero wins||9585||8945|
|Group exit, 1 win||9785||9145|
|Group exit, 2 wins||9985||9345|
|Semis, 1 group win||9785||9145|
|Semis, 2 group wins||9985||9345|
|Semis, 3 group wins||10185||9545|
|Runner-up, 1 group win||10185||9545|
|Runner-up, 2 group wins||10385||9745|
|Runner-up, 3 group wins||10585||9945|
|Winner, 1 group win||10685||10045|
|Winner, 2 group wins||10885||10245|
|Winner, 3 group wins||11085||10445|
So many numbers… but we just want to see healthy Rafa in London!
Rafa is bidding to hold the year-end world No. 1 ranking for the fifth time and make history as the oldest year-end No. 1.
“As I said during the last couple of years, is not my goal to be No. 1. It’s about I need to organize my calendar to play as long as possible,” Rafa said in Paris. “If with my calendar at the end of the season I am number one, super happy. But I will not try to follow or to make extra things to be No. 1. I just going to do my normal schedule. And that’s the way you need to take decisions, and my decision is to try to do the right things to play as long as possible to give me more chances to play more years on the tour than try to be No. 1.”
Good luck & Vamos Rafa!